2010_M2S_DeliberatingBrass

ORCV Melbourne to Stanley (M2S)

Deliberating Brass.

Are we a peach or a pear, remains the question?!

The Brass have chimed in with the following, "Well, Well, Well, Well, What to say about the weather... If we start off with the weather map below, it all looks good. Northerly winds followed by a Westerly change going Sou'west after that. Here's the but, and it’s a big but, you will see that there is a blocking high over the Tasman Sea and this is going to change the normal weather patterns over Bass Strait, as it is a blocking high and quite strong."

"Looking at the four day forecast, you will see that a low is forming over NSW whilst we get underway, which will have a major impact over the weather. It will move South over the weekend and the speed at which it moves, will be the deciding factor in the overall equation. My feeling, is that the you will have a great race with little or no wind forward of the beam, but it could come from everywhere as you push further South."

An FDU Warning has also just been posted - Get your sleep whilst going down the Bay!!!!!

"Tactics on a minute scale are going to be critical and trim will be a constant activity, so get the grinders fed and watered early. Be ready for change, because the atmosphere is chaotic, which will keep the NaviGuessers ultra busy." All commentary about Fantasy Land should be levied against them now. Some will be heroes and other, well, not so....

"The current forecasts for the entire race area, as you have below, further demonstrate the fluctuations that will be present. Earlier comments about being West of the rhumbline are rescinded - be East", the Brass finished with.

Victoria. Central Coast, Cape Otway to Wilsons Promontory

Saturday: Winds: Northeast to easterly 5 to 10 knots, increasing to up to 20 knots during the morning, then becoming Southeasterly up to 30 knots from midday.

Seas: Below 1 metre, increasing up to 2 to 3 metres around midday.

Swell: Westerly 1 to 2 metres. Swell: Easterly about 1 metre.

Tasmania. Far Northwest Coast, Sandy Cape to Stanley and King Island:

Saturday: Chiefly East to Nor'east winds of 10 to 15 knots, tending South to Southeast from late morning in the West of the sector at 20 to 30 knots.

Seas to 2 to 3 metres in the West, with a Southwest swell of 1 to 2 metres, confused about the North of the sector at first, building slightly later.

msl ana valid 0500 sat